We are now coming towards the end of what has been a very successful first month of 2015. This weekend the UFC gives us a PPV headlined with a super fight between returning MMA Legend Anderson Silva and the rebel that is former Strikeforce Welterweight champion Nick Diaz. As always I'm here to offer some advice with some of the bets I like for this upcoming weekend. Just a little reminder that you should go with your own opinion and thoughts but here are a few bets and prop bets that I like this weekend.
Bet 1 Stake £5 Returns £71
Thiago Santos 8/15
Tom Watson 11/8
Ian McCall 4/9
Sara McMann 1/2
Kelvin Gastelum 4/5
So here is my accumulator for this upcoming weekend, I feel very confident in this bet with only Tom Watson being classed as the underdog going in to the fight. Starting in the Middleweight division with Thiago Santos, he faces off against Andy Enz. Santos is a huge favorite here in my opinion, I just don't think Enz is UFC calibre right now. Although he has been very hard to finish he really doesn't offer much to Santos and he should take his second UFC victory here.
Okay so this is where I think it will be make or break for this parlay, as England's own Tom Watson takes on grizzled veteran Rafael Natal in a very closely matched up fight. Where I see Watson having the advantage here is in his come forward and brawl style. I think this could make Natal panic into lunging for takedowns and one thing Watson is actually not to bad at and ever improving on is stopping the takedowns. If "KONG" can stop the takedowns I can see his relentless and gritty striking game giving him the decision victory.
Flyweight match up next as Ian McCall and John Lineker do battle in a potential number 1 contender match up here to determine who faces champion Demetrious Johnson next. These two guys were supposed to face off late last year but McCall had to pull out on the day of the fight through illness. The reason I went with McCall here is I just think he is the better all around fighter where Lineker looks for that one big shot that will hurt his opponent I see McCall staying on the outside using his quick jab and then get out and he will take Lineker down when he needs to. I'm thinking a fairly unanimous decision victory here for "Uncle Creepy".
On to the ladies and we see former title contenders Sara McMann and Miesha Tate do battle here in a very close match up. Anybody who knows me will no I am a huge Miesha Tate fan but in this one I have to pick McMann. I feel that in Tate's last two fights she has looked like she has kind of lost what got her to the top a few years back and with McMann's Olympic wrestling background I feel she will get the takedown and lay heavy on top and pitter patter with ground and pound to earn a close decision.
The last bet here is a very difficult pick between Kelvin Gastelum and Tyron Woodley although I think T-Wood is the more proven fighter here I just think Kelvin is the better choice as he can finish with strikes Submissions and has the superior Gas tank of both Athletes. This really is a pick em fight and if a lot of people go with Woodley I wouldn't be surprised at all. I think Gastelum has to use a similar game plan to that used by Rory MacDonald and try to avoid Woodley's power shots, picking his strikes from distance. As the fight gets to the later stages Gastelum should try and hurt him, possibly take him down and work for the finish but as I have said this is an extremely close match up here.
Bet 2 Stake £5 Returns £128
Al Iaquinta 15/8 To win via Decision
Thales Leites 17/10 To win via Decision
Jordan Mein 23/10 To win via Decision
When Looking at this event I see a lot of fights going to a judges decision and I have chosen these three fights out as going all the way to the judges. All of these fights are potentially very close match ups but I went with the betting favorites so if you have a few quid to spend, this might not be a bad bet at all.
Prop bets to keep an eye on
Derek Brunson via KO/TKO 13/5
Jordan Mein via KO/TKO 11/4
Thales Leites via Submission 15/8
Woodley/Gastelum under 2.5 rds 11/8
So there are a few bets I like this weekend, all the best with the bets you make and I hope you all make some coin!
All of the above odds were accurate at the time of writing this article.
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